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Analysis

You Spin Me Right Round, Baby: Why Poor Defensive Rotations are Killing the Rockets

We’ve all been spoiled. During the Rudy Tomjanovich era, the Rockets didn’t have the best athletes or even the best one-on-one defenders (a certain center excepted), but they played lock down defense. When Jeff Van Gundy manned the ship, the team had an odd mix of players, none of whom were particularly big (another center excepted) or overly athletic, yet they were consistently one of the best defensive teams in the NBA.

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Even Flo Rida plays defense.

We’ve all been spoiled. During the Rudy Tomjanovich era, the Rockets didn’t have the best athletes or even the best one-on-one defenders (a certain center excepted), but they played lock down defense. When Jeff Van Gundy manned the ship, the team had an odd mix of players, none of whom were particularly big (another center excepted) or overly athletic, yet they were consistently one of the best defensive teams in the NBA.

Now that Rick Adelman is in charge, we have better athletes and more size than we’ve had in some time, yet our defense is abysmal. Why is that?

Playing defense in the NBA is about more than one-on-one defense, especially in the post-hand-check era. To be a good defensive team, you have to know how to rotate to the correct spot on the floor and close out on the shooter – in essence, to help out on the guy that is open even if he isn’t your man. It’s been a while since we have witnessed a Houston Rockets team so poor at both.

When Rudy T coached the team, he stressed playing stay at home defense. Players didn’t gamble. They kept a hand in the shooter’s face, rotated to the open man and funneled drivers to Hakeem Olajuwon, who played goalie. JVG preached a similar sound defensive technique that emphasized closing out on open players and being disciplined on your rotations so you are in the right spot at the right time.

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Knowing how to rotate properly turns average athletes into good defensive players, something Stromile Swift never managed to get when he was with the Rockets (he wasn’t ever thought to be the sharpest tool in the shed) and one of the reasons a guy who should have been a top shot blocker in the NBA couldn’t manage to protect the basket if he were wearing the Iron Man suit.

Whether it is a lack of focus on defense in practice (mind you, this stuff must be worked on with the same degree of intensity as offense) or lack of hustle, these current Rockets give up wide open looks from all over the court because they are often so out of position on defense that the shooter could sign a couple autographs for folks in the rich-people seats before even lining up his shot.

The old adage “Defense wins championships” isn’t a terribly accurate statement, but there is little argument a team that plays poor defense has no shot at a title. If the Rockets don’t start rotating better on defense and closing out on shooters, they’ll be lucky to muster a winning record let alone make the playoffs and challenge for a championship.

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Analysis

Rockets officially punch their ticket to 2026 NBA playoffs

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Graphic via Houston Rockets, Rockets.com

For a second straight season, the Houston Rockets will be part of the eight-team Western Conference playoffs. Their seed, however, remains unknown.

With wins in their last four games, the Rockets (47-29) clinched a top-six spot in the West standings when the Suns lost at Charlotte on Thursday night. Phoenix (42-35) is currently at No. 7, and Houston owns any tiebreaker after winning the head-to-head series.

In each conference, teams seeded sixth and above advance directly to the playoffs without having to go through the NBA’s play-in tournament. Since the Rockets have only six games left in their 2025-26 regular season, it is no longer mathematically possible to fall below the Suns.

As a franchise, Houston’s playoff berths in 2025 and 2026 are a welcome turn of events after a multi-year rebuilding project at the start of the decade. From 2021 through 2024, the Rockets missed the playoffs each spring.

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Led by the All-Star duo of Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun and a pair of rising stars in Amen Thompson and Reed Sheppard, the Rockets are currently seeded fifth in the West. As the regular season winds down, that ranks just ahead of the Minnesota Timberwolves (46-30) and narrowly behind the Los Angeles Lakers (50-26) and Denver Nuggets (49-28).

Each team is well behind the West’s No. 2 seed, the San Antonio Spurs (58-18), so it’s a certainty that those four will be the No. 3 through No. 6 seeds, in some order. The teams seeded third and fourth will own home-court advantage (Game 1, Game 2, Game 5, and Game 7) in the resulting best-of-seven, first-round series.

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Since the Rockets will be in either the No. 3 versus No. 6 or No. 4 versus No. 5 series, it guarantees that either the Lakers, Nuggets, or Timberwolves will be their eventual first-round opponent. For the Rockets, playoffstatus.com currently lists the Nuggets at a 66% probability; the Lakers at 29%; and the Timberwolves at 4%.

As of Thursday, PlayoffStatus.com gave Houston only a 20% chance at securing a top-four seed and home-court advantage in the first round. Then again, fans learned one year ago that having home-court advantage does not guarantee success.

Consider that in the 2025 first round, the second-seeded Rockets lost a decisive, winner-take-all Game 7 at home versus the seventh-seeded Warriors.

Houston might have an opportunity to make amends as a lower seed in 2026, though its first-round matchup won’t be against Golden State.

Furthermore, there’s this fun fact to consider: Houston’s most recent NBA championship came as a No. 6 seed, in 1995.

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Whether in Houston or away, Game 1 of the 2026 first-round series will be played on Saturday, April 18 or Sunday, April 19. A complete schedule will be announced shortly after the regular season concludes on Sunday, April 12.

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Analysis

‘Mr. Reliable’: Jabari Smith Jr. takes flight as Rockets rise to No. 3 in West

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Photo via Houston Rockets, NBA, Rockets.com

In the first two weeks of January, fourth-year forward Jabari Smith Jr. went through a brutal eight-game shooting slump, and the Rockets were 3-5 over that span.

But since mid-January, Smith’s fortunes have changed in a big way — and so, too, have those of the Rockets as a team.

In 17 games since Jan. 18, the Auburn product is averaging 17.0 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks per game while shooting 51.0% overall, 42.6% on 3-pointers, and 81.4% on free throws.

Smith’s true-shooting clip is a robust 64.8% over that period, and the Rockets are 11-6 (.647) during those 17 games — second-best among all Western Conference teams. In their previous 22 games, Houston had gone 11-11.

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After Monday’s blowout home win over Utah, in which Smith scored a game-high 31 points, the Rockets (35-21) are back to No. 3 in the West standings.

“The last month or so I think Jabari has been catching his rhythm, understanding more his role,” All-Star forward Kevin Durant said postgame. “I know guys have been here for a while but it’s still a different team from last year, so guys have got to understand their roles a bit more. I think Bari has just stepped into his position and been great for us the last month.”

For Smith, it was his first time since February 2024 to score 20+ points in consecutive games.

Yet, it wasn’t just about the scoring, as Smith also finished with 9 rebounds, 4 blocks, and 3 steals against the Jazz. In postgame comments from Toyota Center, the versatile 6-foot-11 forward said he believes those types of defensive contributions often fuel his offense.

“I think it was about my mindset going into the games,” Smith said of his recent improvements. “Like I always say, if I do the other things, I usually play well.”

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”I’m not going into the game worrying about when my shot is going to come, or when I’m going to get the ball. I’m just trying to focus on crashing, and doing other things. Playing defense, rebounding. Usually, when I focus on those things, the game just comes more naturally to me. I’m not thinking about it, and I just feel like I’m in a better flow.”

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And at just 22 years old, Houston’s No. 3 overall pick from the 2022 draft still has plenty of time to get even better. Asked Monday whether he feels he’s emerging as one of the better two-way players in the NBA, Smith didn’t mince words.

“For sure,” Smith told Kelly Iko of Yahoo! Sports.

“As I keep focusing on the defensive end and on the little things, I think I’m only going to keep getting better. The game is slowing down for me this year, and teammates are helping me. I feel like I’m in a good flow right now.”

“To answer your question, yes, for sure.”

For the 2025-26 season overall, Smith is now averaging career-highs in points (15.6 per game), 3-point shooting (37.0%), and true shooting (57.1%), and his combination of size and shooting allows him to space the floor and impact games without being ball dominant.

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Defensively, Smith ranks in the 88th percentile in blocks and 78th percentile in defensive rebounding among NBA forwards, per Cleaning the Glass.

As a team source recently told ClutchFans, “He’s Mr. Reliable.”

For more insight on Smith’s recent play, check out the ClutchFans YouTube channel for live postgame reaction to each game! Monday’s late episode features Dave Hardisty and Jeff Balke.

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Analysis

The ‘KD files’: Will the alleged burner affect the Rockets?

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Photo via Houston Rockets, NBA, Rockets.com

Will Kevin Durant’s alleged social media “burner” comments affect the Rockets?

At least through one game — Thursday’s impressive road win at Charlotte, led by a dominant showing from Durant — the answer appears to be no. (At least not negatively!)

With that victory and a Denver loss, Houston (34-20) climbed to No. 3 in the tightly packed Western Conference standings. Next up is Saturday’s showdown at Madison Square Garden, where tipoff versus the New York Knicks is at 7:30 p.m. Central on ABC.

In recent days, we had a pair of YouTube live streams reacting to the latest developments. Wednesday’s show with ClutchFans’ Dave Hardisty and Ben DuBose broke down Durant’s interview comments related to the scandal, while Thursday’s show with Hardisty, DuBose, and Chron.com’s Michael Shapiro offers key takeaways from an important win over the Hornets.

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You can watch those shows below, and if you haven’t seen the alleged Durant commentary regarding at least two of his teammates, you can read those messages here. Judge for yourself.

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Analysis

Podcast: Key takeaways from Rockets-Thunder, 2026 NBA trade deadline

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Photo via Houston Rockets, NBA, Rockets.com

Houston didn’t make a move at Thursday’s in-season trade deadline, but the Rockets did get a much-needed victory in Saturday’s 112-106 win at Oklahoma City.

For the Rockets, it’s their first win of 2025-26 against the defending NBA champs. Houston (32-19) remains at No. 4 in the Western Conference standings, while the top-seeded Thunder (40-13) continue to own the league’s best record.

Featuring Ben DuBose, Paulo Alves, and ClutchFans’ Dave Hardisty, Saturday’s postgame show reacts to both the trade deadline and that nationally televised Rockets-Thunder showdown.

Topics include offensive growth by Tari Eason and Jabari Smith Jr.; an apparent step forward for Alperen Sengun on defense; what general manager Rafael Stone considered at the deadline; and potential buyout options and trade targets over the coming weeks and months.

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Tune in below!

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Analysis

Rockets 111, Mavs 107: Houston enters February with momentum

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Photo via Houston Rockets, NBA, Rockets.com

The Rockets began January with a 3-5 record in their first eight games, and that included a winless road trip in Portland (twice) and Sacramento.

But after finishing with seven wins in nine games, Houston (30-17) enters February at No. 4 in the Western Conference standings.

Late Saturday, ClutchFans Editor Dave Hardisty teamed up with Ben DuBose (USA TODAY’s Rockets Wire) to recap the ABC primetime showdown. That video is available to watch here, as are postgame notes issued by the team.

Topics on the show include recent improvements from both Amen Thompson and Jabari Smith Jr., with the latter on a clearly upward trajectory in late January.

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Rockets Postgame Notes (box score)

— With the win, the Rockets split the season series versus the Mavs, 2-2. Houston closed out January by winning seven of its final nine games, while Dallas has lost a season-high tying four straight. The Mavericks had previously won a season-high four in a row.

— Houston held Dallas to 107 points and improved to 21-1 when allowing fewer than 110 points this season. The Rockets held opponents to 106.4 points per game in 17 January games, down from 112.0 points in the first 30 games of the season.

— The Rockets won despite shooting 41.7% from the floor. Houston has won three of its past four games while shooting below 45.0%, all after having just three previous wins (in 2025-26) when doing so. The Rockets had 108 shot attempts, tying for their second-highest total in a non-overtime game going back to 1986-87.

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— Houston had a season-high tying 33 assists with a season-low 6 turnovers. The Rockets are averaging 27.3 assists over the past seven games after averaging 20.8 the eight games prior. Houston has recorded 12 or fewer turnovers in consecutive games for the second time this season (Nov. 12-Nov. 14).

— Six Rockets scored in double-figures, including all five starters. The last time Houston’s entire starting lineup scored 10+ points was in Brooklyn on Jan. 1.

— Amen Thompson had 21 points, 9 rebounds, 8 assists and 2 steals. He has scored 20+ points in two of the past three games and 20 times overall this season, all after doing so 18 times in his first two seasons, combined. For the month of January, Thompson averaged 18.8 points, 8.3 rebounds, 5.7 assists, and 1.71 steals per game. [Video Highlights]

— Tari Eason had 17 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 steals while shooting 3-of-5 from 3-point range. He has scored 15+ points in five of his 10 games played this month after doing so five times his first 16 games played this season (the Rockets went 7-3 in those games). Eason has recorded 2+ steals in each of his past four games played, marking his longest streak since a five-game span in November 2024. [Video Highlights]

— Josh Okogie had 13 points, 5 rebounds, a steal, and a block off the bench while shooting 3-of-6 from 3-point range. He has scored in double-figures in each of the past two games after not scoring 10+ in any of the 21 previous games. From 3-point range, Okogie has hit 10 treys on 47.6% shooting over the past seven games, and he is shooting a career-high 39.3% this season. [Video Highlights]

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— Cooper Flagg had a game-high 34 points along with a career-high 12 rebounds and 5 assists. He scored a career-high 49 points in the Mavs’ last game versus Charlotte on Jan. 29. Dating back to 1996-97, Flagg’s 83 points is the third-highest two-game total by a rookie. He is the fourth different Dallas rookie to have scored 30+ points in consecutive games (Mark Aguirre, Luka Dončić, Jay Vincent).

Houston resumes play Monday at Indiana (13-36), and our ClutchFans Live postgame show will react to both that night’s action and the in-season trade deadline of Thursday, February 5. Chron.com’s Michael Shapiro will be our featured guest, so tune in!

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