Connect with us
 

Houston Rockets

The Chandler Parsons Contract: Salary Cap Implications of Exercising or Declining the Team Option

There is no obvious choice for the Rockets on whether to exercise or decline the team option on Chandler Parsons, but David Weiner takes a look at the salary impact of both routes.

Published

on

Chandler Parsons Contract

The decision on whether to exercise their team option on Chandler Parsons’s contract is among the Rockets’ biggest quandaries heading into the summer of 2014

***UPDATED June 7, 2014***

Due to additional information obtained and confirmed, as well as a more careful reading of the 2011 NBA Collective Bargaining Agreement, this piece has been updated to more accurately describe the cap hit for Chandler Parsons if the team option on his contract is declined.

This article is intended solely as an analysis of the salary cap effects of certain decisions that the Rockets make with respect to Parsons’s contract and is not intended to express an opinion on such decisions.

The Partial “Guarantee” And The Team Option That Nullifies It

On January 1, 2014, by not having been waived before such date, a portion of Parsons’s 2014-15 salary ($624,771, to be exact) became guaranteed.  If Parsons is not waived by June 30, his entire 2014-15 salary ($964,750) becomes guaranteed.

Advertisement

However, these “guarantees” are illusory.

Parsons’s contract includes a team option for the 2014-15 season.  Because it is a team option, the Rockets essentially get to decide whether that season of his contract exists or not.  By declining the option, Houston has the power to nullify those guarantees, which would only exist if the option were exercised.

In the end, the partial guarantee earned on January 1 is largely pointless.  (Hypothetically, the Rockets could exercise the team option on June 28 and then immediately change their mind about Parsons and waive him, in which case Parsons would be $624,771 richer for having had that partial guarantee . . . but that is a fairly ridiculous set of circumstances.)

With that little nugget of information now known, let’s take a closer look at the salary cap implications of the Rockets either exercising or declining that team option.

Exercising The Option

If the Rockets elect to exercise their team option on Parsons’s contract, then Parsons will earn — and will count against the salary cap in the amount of — only $964,750.  That is only slightly greater than the minimum salary for a three-year veteran.

Advertisement

Because of Parsons’s miniscule 2014-15 salary, his cap hold on the Rockets’ books when he hits free agency in 2015 until he is signed (either by the Rockets or another team) will be a paltry $1,833,025.  This figure is equal to 190% of Parsons’s 2014-15 salary, which is the method used to determine cap holds for players (other than those coming off rookie scale contracts, which Parsons is not) making below the average player salary and for whom a team holds full Bird rights.

By having such a small cap hold for Parsons, the Rockets would be able to use all of their available cap room in 2015 — except for that $1,833,025 cap hold amount — to pursue outside free agents (in a free agent class that is expected to include Kevin Love and LaMarcus Aldridge), then later exceed the salary cap to re-sign Parsons to any amount using his Bird rights.

Declining The Option

If the Rockets elect not to exercise their team option on Parsons’s contract, and if the Rockets extend a qualifying offer to Parsons (more on that below), then Parsons would become a restricted free agent.

By making Parsons a restricted free agent, the Rockets would have the right to match any offer he receives from another team.  Typically, restricted free agents whose teams are clearly interested in re-signing them do not receive the level of interest that a similarly-situated unrestricted free agent does, thereby “chilling the bidding” on the player and potentially allowing his original team to re-sign him at a relatively lower salary.  (A recent example of this is Nikola Pekovic, who had to wait around for most of last summer without an offer sheet before eventually re-signing with the Timberwolves.)

Advertisement

Because Parsons would have been under the same contract with the Rockets for three seasons (2011-2014), the Rockets would have full Bird rights on Parsons and could exceed the salary cap to re-sign him to a five-year deal at any amount up to the maximum salary (expected to be a starting salary in the $14 million range for players with 0-6 years of service).

(NOTE:  Parsons is not subject to the “Gilbert Arenas Rule” that governed the structure of the contracts that the Rockets handed out to Omer Asik and Jeremy Lin.  The Arenas Rule is limited solely to one- and two-year veterans.  There is no “poison pill” that another team could work into an offer sheet for Parsons.)

If Parsons becomes a restricted free agent, then his cap hold next summer will be the greatest of (a) his “ordinary” cap hold of 190% of his 2013-14 salary (or $1,760,350), (b) the first year salary in any offer sheet he signs that the Rockets wish to match, or (c) his qualifying offer.

A qualifying offer is the minimum amount that a team must offer to a player (as a one-year deal) by June 30 each year in order to make him a restricted free agent.  Without a qualifying offer, the player automatically becomes an unrestricted free agent.  Under the prior CBA, this would have been a similarly low amount to his “ordinary” cap hold. However, the new CBA changed the rules regarding qualifying offers to young players who significantly outplay their draft status.

Under the new CBA, if a young player taken outside the first half of the lottery meets certain “starter criteria” in either the year prior to his free agency or averaged over the two years prior to his free agency, then he is entitled to a higher qualifying offer.  In the case of second round picks meeting the starter criteria, they are entitled to a qualifying offer equal to 100% of the rookie scale qualifying offer for the 21st selection of the draft class whose rookie scale contracts are up for qualifying offers this summer.

Advertisement

As applied to Parsons this summer, he is entitled to whatever qualifying offer the 21st pick in the 2010 NBA Draft would have gotten if signed to 100% of the rookie scale.  (FYI, the 21st pick in 2010 was Craig Brackins, but that is irrelevant here.)  That amount is $2,875,130.

(For more information about restricted free agency, qualifying offers and the starter criteria, read this portion of Larry Coon’s NBA Salary Cap FAQ.)

On the other hand, if Parsons is not extended a qualifying offer and is allowed to become an unrestricted free agent in 2014, he would count against the Rockets’ cap in the amount of his “ordinary” cap hold ($1,760,350).  However, since the chief purpose of declining Parsons’s option is to make him a restricted free agent, it is unlikely this would happen.

So, for all intents and purposes, the cap hit for Parsons if his option is declined will be $2,875,130 . . . until he signs an offer sheet or a new contract.

While the Rockets do not expect to have much (if any) salary cap room in the summer of 2014 assuming that no further roster moves are made, it is entirely possible that subsequent roster moves (such as those involving Asik and/or Lin being traded for less salary or expiring contracts) could create a situation in which 2014 cap room becomes a legitimate priority for the Rockets.  In such an event, the amount that Parsons counts against the cap could become a material concern.

Advertisement

Conclusion

The Houston Rockets face a major decision on whether to exercise their team option on Parsons.  Of course, there are various other factors in play here besides just the salary cap mechanics associated with each decision.  Such factors include the team’s need for salary cap room in light of subsequent roster moves (such as an Asik trade), the availability of outside free agents, any additional leverage held by NBA super-agent Dan Fegan (hired by Parsons this past summer), and, perhaps most importantly, the “human element” of dealing with Chandler Parsons on a personal level.

When all factors are included, there is no easy choice for the Rockets.  But it is a choice that will be closely followed by Rockets fans.

Advertisement

Analysis

This Thanksgiving, the Rockets are thankful for Reed Sheppard

Published

on

Photo via Houston Rockets, Rockets.com

Relative to their expected formula from the 2025 offseason, the Rockets were missing five rotation players in Wednesday’s Thanksgiving Eve playoff rematch versus the Warriors.

Kevin Durant (personal reasons), Steven Adams (right ankle tendinopathy), and Tari Eason (right oblique strain) were all sidelined, and veterans Fred VanVleet (right knee) and Dorian Finney-Smith (left ankle) remain on the shelf after offseason surgeries.

Yet, the Rockets (12-4) still won for a 12th time in 14 games, and they overcame a 14-point road deficit against a high-profile Golden State squad featuring the likes of Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler, and Draymond Green.

The biggest reason was second-year guard Reed Sheppard, who set career-highs in points (31) and rebounds (9) while making 12-of-25 shots (48.0%), including four 3-pointers.

Advertisement

“He was big,” said head coach Ime Udoka, whose Rockets won despite shooting below 40% overall and 30% from 3-point range. “Reed really held us together when guys were struggling.”

For the season, Sheppard — a starter for Udoka over the past two games — is averaging 14.3 points, 3.3 assists, 2.8 rebounds, and 1.6 steals in 24.9 minutes per game. He’s shooting 48.8% overall and 45.5% on 3-pointers, with the latter figure coming in at No. 11 among hundreds of qualified NBA players.

But the advanced metrics are even more impressive. Per Basketball Reference, here’s where Sheppard ranks among his NBA peers in several impact categories:

• Box plus/minus (BPM): No. 5 (7.3)
• Defensive BPM: No. 6 (2.7)
• Offensive BPM: No. 15 (4.6)
• Win shares per 48 minutes: No. 10 (.208)
• Value over replacement player (VORP): No. 16 (0.9)
• True shooting (TS): No. 42 (62.9%)
• Player efficiency rating (PER): No. 40 (19.6)
• Steal percentage: No. 5 (3.3%)

Advertisement

The only players with a superior BPM are a quartet of annual Most Valuable Player (MVP) frontrunners in Nikola Jokic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Luka Doncic. At the moment, Sheppard is the league’s highest-rated American player!

To say the least, those are remarkable efficiency metrics for a 21-year-old in his second NBA season. And it’s not as if Sheppard is posting those in low-leverage minutes, as evidenced by the key plays he made in the fourth quarter to help put the Warriors away.

“Defensively is where he’s shown the most improvement, overall,” Udoka said from San Francisco. “I think he’s taking on the challenge. The blow-bys are getting less and less. He’s catching up with the physicality of the game. Teams are going to try to attack him, at times, but like we said last year and during this summer, make them go east and west and stay in front of them. Help will come. He’s doing a great job of that.”

Sixteen games in, it’s no longer a particularly small sample. Rounding, it’s actually 20% of the 82-game regular season!

Advertisement

Assuming relative health, the 2025-26 Rockets had a high floor entering the season due to the All-Star presence of Durant and Alperen Sengun. But whether they could achieve a championship ceiling likely depended on further leaps from young players — most notably, the high-upside ones like Sheppard and Amen Thompson.

With Durant out, Thompson was the headliner in Monday’s road victory in Phoenix, and Sheppard stole the show two nights later at Golden State.

For everyone surrounding the organization, it’s an appropriate time to be thankful. With these leaps being shown from players who are extremely young and still improving, the Rockets appear set up to be a force in the Western Conference for quite some time.

“It’s going to be exciting when we get fully healthy and whole,” Udoka surmised.

Advertisement

Continue Reading

Analysis

2025 NBA Cup math, schedule update: Rockets unlikely to advance

Published

on

Photo via Houston Rockets, Rockets.com

Entering Thanksgiving week, all 30 teams have at least one of their four group-stage games remaining in Emirates NBA Cup 2025 action. Some have two.

But for the Houston Rockets (10-4 on the 2025-26 regular season, 1-2 in Cup play), elimination appears almost inevitable after Friday’s group-stage loss to the Denver Nuggets.

To explain why, let’s look at the Cup standings entering the week:

After their winning their group in the 2024 NBA Cup, the Rockets have already lost the possibility of doing so in 2025. Even if the Rockets win their group-stage finale at Golden State on Wednesday night, Houston’s best-case outcome is a 2-2 mark.

The only way 2-2 would be tied for the Group C lead is if Portland loses at home to San Antonio on Wednesday, followed by the Spurs winning at Denver two nights later. Without that combination of results, at least one of the Trail Blazers and Nuggets would have three group-stage wins, which inherently eliminates Houston.

But even if that unlikely 2-2 scenario somehow played out, the Rockets would be 1-2 against the other three teams in that 2-2 tie. The Spurs and Nuggets would each be 2-1, thus eliminating Houston as a potential group winner.

Advertisement

So, Group C is off the table.

Mathematically, the Rockets do remain alive for the wild-card slot, which goes to the top second-place finisher in each conference. For example, if this week’s games go according to the Vegas odds, it’s quite possible that the Spurs could defeat Portland but lose to Denver, creating a three-way tie between the Rockets, Trail Blazers, and Spurs at 2-2. Since each team would be 1-1 against the other two, head-to-head, it would come down to point differential — and Houston is well ahead of Portland (-18) and currently tied with San Antonio (+10) there.

Should Houston win that tiebreaker, the Rockets would finish second in in Group C. But looking at the remainder of the West, it’s unlikely for that to be enough to earn the wild card.

For starters, if any second-place team in Group A or Group B gets to three wins, the Rockets are automatically eliminated. Last season, both wild-card teams went 3-1 in group play.

But even if 2-2 somehow becomes enough for a tie, the point differential of the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-1, +53) and Oklahoma City Thunder (2-0, +63) will be difficult to overcome. At the moment, those teams — who play each other on Wednesday — are 43 and 53 points ahead of the Rockets, respectively.

Advertisement

So, in order for Houston’s 2-2 mark to somehow be enough to advance, the Rockets would need to make up at least 43 combined points between the final margin of their road game against the Warriors and the remaining group games for the Timberwolves and Thunder.

To say the least, that’s a tall order.

As a result, while not mathematically eliminated just yet, the odds are overwhelmingly against the Rockets advancing to the eight-team knockout phase.

There could, however, be some consolation. Should the Rockets improbably advance to the knockout rounds as a wild card, they would play on the road in the quarterfinal round. From there, should they win, their next game would be in Las Vegas for a neutral-site semifinal.

On the other hand, if the Rockets are eliminated, they would have two games added to their schedule versus West rivals who they are currently slated to play only three times (and not the usual four for most same-conference teams). These add-on games, which would be played during the week of Dec. 9-16 allow all teams to finish at 82 regular-season games in the final 2025-26 standings — i.e. the same as those who gain additional games from advancing to the knockout rounds. The Cup title game does not count toward regular-season standings.

Advertisement

For the Rockets, in contrast to the wild-card scenario, it’s worth noting that one of those two add-on games would be at home, inside Toyota Center.

The possible opponent pool consists of the Thunder, Warriors, Nuggets, Timberwolves, Los Angeles Lakers, and Los Angeles Clippers — and since these would be non-Cup matchups, it would have to be opponents who were also eliminated in group-stage play.

Breaking down that group of six, the home matchup would likely come against a team that is currently on the books for only one appearance in Houston this season. Based on the current schedule, that’s the Warriors, Nuggets, and Thunder.

Conversely, the other three teams — the Lakers, Clippers, and Timberwolves — are only scheduled to get one visit from Houston this season. So, those would likely be the three in the mix for Houston’s add-on road game.

Since the Warriors are almost certain to be eliminated after the Cup’s group stage — and the Nuggets and Thunder are likely to advance to the knockout rounds — the odds would suggest that Golden State becomes Houston’s additional home game in December.

Advertisement

For the add-on road game, the Timberwolves and the loser of Tuesday’s Lakers-Clippers Cup showdown — both Los Angeles teams are 2-0 in Group B, at the moment — would seem to be the strongest candidates.

So, relative to advancing in Cup play, being eliminated would give the Rockets one additional home game. Furthermore, if the add-on games become the Warriors and Clippers, both of those teams are currently at .500 or below this season. As a result, it’s probably to Houston’s scheduling interest for the Clippers to lose on Tuesday night, though it could be argued that the looming return of Kawhi Leonard makes them more of a threat.

Conversely, should Houston somehow advance, any knockout-round opponent would likely be a stronger team. After all, there’s probably a good reason why that team advanced.

It’s a small silver lining, but it’s not nothing. By not advancing in Cup play, the Rockets are likely to get one more home game at Toyota Center — and it’s likely to be a fun one versus Steph Curry, Draymond Green, and the hated Warriors.

For the Rockets and other teams across the league, those Dec. 9-16 matchups, dates, and times will be announced after the Nov. 28 conclusion of all group-stage games (schedule).

Advertisement

Continue Reading

Analysis

‘Fills this glaring void’: As Rockets stack wins, Kevin Durant draws national praise

Published

on

Photo via Houston Rockets, Rockets.com

After Sunday’s thrilling come-from-behind victory over Orlando (ClutchFans postgame show), the Houston Rockets have now won nine of their last 10 games, overall.

At 9-3, the Rockets are just a half-game back of Denver for the No. 2 spot in the Western Conference standings, and they still rank No. 1 in the NBA in offensive rating.

One clear reason for that success, both in Sunday’s comeback against the Magic and the 2025-26 season to date, is the offseason addition of All-Star forward Kevin Durant.

Now 37 years old, the future Hall of Famer is currently averaging 25.9 points and 4.7 rebounds per game while shooting 51.0% overall, 40.0% on 3-pointers, and 88.8% on free throws.

Advertisement

On ESPN’s latest The Hoop Collective podcast, Tim MacMahon and Tim Bontemps dove deeper into what it means for the Rockets as a team.

MacMahon: “Can we talk about the fact that KD is still an elite scorer in year 19? There’s been very little dropoff there, and now he’s in a situation in Houston where he just fills this glaring void as a go-to guy. He’s off to an incredible start.”

Bontemps: “Last season, the Rockets in offensive rating were 12th in the regular season. This year, they’re first. Yes, some other things changed. (Alperen) Sengun has played great, and Reed Sheppard is really starting to play well.”

“But Dillon Brooks is an inefficient shooter, and Jalen Green is a very inefficient shooter. They swapped them out for Kevin Durant, and that’s a pretty giant part of why they went from being an up-and-down offensive team — who really needed to offensive rebound to have any success — to now having the best offense in the league. They’re still offensive rebounding like crazy, but they also have Kevin Durant out there to make shots.”

MacMahon: “He’s averaging 26 (points) on 51-40-89 shooting splits. That’s pretty good.”

Advertisement

The complete podcast, which also features ESPN’s Brian Windhorst, can be viewed below.

Durant and the Rockets will look to keep their momentum rolling when they visit Donovan Mitchell’s Cleveland Cavaliers (10-5) on Wednesday night. Tipoff is at 6:00 p.m. Central, and the game will be televised to a national audience on ESPN.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Analysis

After routing Portland, Rockets storm back into 2025 NBA Cup race

Published

on

Photo via Houston Rockets, Rockets.com

When Houston lost its Emirates NBA Cup 2025 opener by double digits in San Antonio, its odds of advancing to December’s eight-team knockout rounds appeared low.

But one week later, after Friday’s 24-point blowout of Portland (led by Kevin Durant, who scored 30 points and was +37 in his minutes), the Rockets are now in a much better spot.

Between Houston’s home win over the Trail Blazers and Golden State’s late-night victory at San Antonio, all five teams in Western Conference Group C are now 1-1 at the midway point of group play. Many observers around the NBA are calling that the “group of death” for the in-season tournament, referring to the collective difficulty of those teams.

As things stand, four of those five squads have winning records in the 2025-26 regular season, and the fifth (6-6 Portland) is at .500.

Advertisement

In Cup play, with all teams having split against each other, the second tiebreaker criteria (after head-to-head) is point differential. From that standpoint, the margin the Rockets were able to put up Friday was very helpful. Here’s how the five teams currently stack up:

1.) Denver: 1-1, +23
2.) Rockets: 1-1, +13
3.) San Antonio: 1-1, +10
4.) Portland: 1-1, -22
5.) Golden State: 1-1, -24

Houston’s final two NBA Cup group games are next Friday, Nov. 21, at home versus Denver, and then the following Wednesday, Nov. 26, at Golden State.

Advertisement

Neither game will be easy to win, but if the Rockets get to 3-1, they would have the head-to-head tiebreaker advantage over every team in the group outside of the Spurs.

In that scenario, the only way the Rockets could potentially not win the group is if the Spurs swept their road games at Portland (Nov. 26) and Denver (Nov. 28) over Thanksgiving week. The Spurs would likely be underdogs against the Nuggets, assuming Nikola Jokic is healthy and available to play.

And even if San Antonio did win both of those games, the Rockets could still have a realistic chance of securing the fourth and final Western Conference knockout-round slot via the wild card, which is determined by point differential. That’s where Friday’s blowout margin versus the Trail Blazers could pay even more dividends down the line. In each conference, the wild-card spot goes to a second-place finisher with the best point differential.

Those knockout round games — or add-on regular-season contests, in scenarios where the Rockets are eliminated early from NBA Cup contention — will be added to the schedule for the week of Dec. 9-16. Opponents, dates, times, and locations will be announced at the end of November, once all group-stage games are concluded.

Advertisement

Granted, the biggest priority for the Rockets remains the 2025-26 regular season and building up for an eventual run in the 2026 NBA playoffs. At the moment, the Rockets are 8-3 and have won eight of their last nine, overall. That’s the primary focus.

That hot stretch has lifted Houston to the No. 3 spot in the West standings, trailing only Oklahoma City (12-1) and Denver (9-2), and the Rockets will have a chance to gain a game on the Nuggets during next Friday’s showdown at Toyota Center.

Yet, it’s becoming clear that Houston cares about the NBA Cup, as well. In Friday’s game versus the Trail Blazers, All-Star center Alperen Sengun checked back into the game with just over five minutes left and the Rockets ahead by 26 points.

Sure, he might have wanted a triple-double. But from the perspective of head coach Ime Udoka, the most plausible explanation seems to be that he wanted to sustain that lofty margin, which the Rockets were largely able to do.

The bottom line is this: With two group-stage games left to play, the Rockets have suddenly found themselves in a solid position, from an NBA Cup perspective.

They don’t fully control their own destiny, of course. But if they are able to win against the Nuggets and Warriors, it now appears more likely than not that Houston would advance to the knockout rounds for a second consecutive year.

Advertisement

Relative to seven days ago, that’s a good place to be.

Continue Reading

Houston Rockets

Seat changes are officially underway at Toyota Center

Published

on

Photos via Houston Rockets, Toyota Center

In a self-funded project (reportedly at an investment of over $10 million), the Houston Rockets are replacing the 17,000 bowl seats inside their home arena of Toyota Center. The new seats feature a black sports-weave material, which will represent a noticeable change relative to the venue’s current color scheme of red.

In advance of Wednesday’s game versus the Washington Wizards, which kicks off a three-game homestand over the next five days, the Rockets completed the renovation on three upper-level sections. Others throughout the building will change as the 2025-26 NBA season progresses.

All of the new seats, which are shown below, include attached cup holders.

Photos via Houston Rockets, Toyota Center

Because the initial completed sections are in the upper level, the backdrop is unlikely to look different for fans watching on television. However, that could change as the season progresses and the work eventually migrates to the lower level.

Advertisement

No scheduling shutdowns are anticipated due to the project, and the change will not cause the venue to lose any seating capacity. The current bowl seats, other than the suite level, are “original to the building,” which first opened in 2003.

The seating and platform upgrades are among many recommendations from a facility condition assessment by Venue Solutions Group, which advised that Toyota Center needs a total of $635.8 million in maintenance work over the next 20 years.

In 2025, Toyota Center is now in its third operational decade. With many architectural, mechanical, and technological features original to the building, replacements are becoming necessary after 20-plus years of use, according to the assessment (via the Houston Business Journal). But while the arena requires modernization, the assessment found that the facilitity generally remains in good condition and has been well-maintained throughout.

Under the leadership of team owner Tilman Fertitta, the Rockets have made a series of renovations to Toyota Center in recent years. That process remains ongoing, with seating upgrades representing the latest and most visible phase.

Photos via Houston Rockets, Toyota Center

Photos via Houston Rockets, Toyota Center

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending